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Australian Stock Index Technical Analysis - Australian Stock Index Trading: 2025-06-04
ASX 200 Index Technical Analysis Summary
Above 8556.77
Buy Stop
Below 8443.34
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Sell |
| MACD | Buy |
| Donchian Channel | Buy |
| MA(200) | Buy |
| Fractals | Buy |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
ASX 200 Index Chart Analysis
ASX 200 Index Technical Analysis
The AU200 technical analysis of the price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows AU200,H4 is rising above the 200-period moving average MA(200) which is rising itself. RSI indicator is in overbought zone. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 8556.77. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 8443.34. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (8443.34) without reaching the order (8556.77) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Indices - ASX 200 Index
Australian economy’s growth slowed sharply. Will the AU200 price advance persist?
Australian economy’s growth slowed sharply: the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported Australian economy grew by 0.2% over quarter in Q1 of 2025, after an 0.6% rise in Q4 of 2024 when an 0.4% growth was expected. It was the 14th quarter of expansion but the softest pace in three quarters. On an annual basis, the GDP expanded 1.3%, holding steady for the second straight quarter but missing expectations of 1.5% growth. Government expenditure was flat after increasing in the prior nine quarters. Net trade further weighed on growth, as exports shrank more sharply than imports amid rising global trade uncertainty. Household spending slowed to 0.4% from 0.7%, with growth largely driven by essentials such as food, rent, and electricity. Slowing of Australian economic activity is bearish for the Australian stock market index AU200. However, the current setup is bullish for AU200.
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